Zayavka
na samoubiystvo.
Zachem Ukraine NATO?/An Application for Suicide. Why Ukraine needs NATO?/Dmitriy
Tabachnik, Petr Simonenko, Sergey Grinevetskiy, Georgiy Kryuchkov. - Dovira, Kyiv: Folio, ?Kharkiv, 2009. – 445 pages. (ISBN
978-966-5-0-249-2 and 978-966-03-4735-9. (In Russian).
The book is a collection of
analytical articles composed by five Ukrainian academics and politicians
representing a range of political parties of the left and central orientation.
The main subject is Ukraine’s relations with NATO and the broader outcomes of a
potential NATO membership for Ukraine’s foreign policy identity and its
relations with Russia. In addition to the main collection of in-depth articles
composed by five main contributors, the book also contains the Russian
translation of the North-Atlantic Treaty (Washington DC, April 1949), and
several smaller commentaries by other Ukrainian scholars, journalists, and
politicians. When reading the book it is important to consider the political
context in which it was published, - a
year before the upcoming presidential election of 2010, and several years after
the Orange Revolution and the election of Victor Yuschenko as the President of
Ukraine in 2004. Hence, the tone of the discussions and analysis is often too
politicized and propagandist. Nevertheless, the book offers a good perspective
regarding the political views of a significant part of the Ukrainian political
community and, perhaps, a significant part of the Ukrainian population. After the
2010 presidential and parliamentary elections that followed the publication of
the book, most of the political forces whose opinions are presented obtained
political representation and direct access to power. Not surprisingly, as of today,
many of the foreign and domestic policy proposals discussed in the book have
been implemented.
The title of the book “An
Application for Suicide. Why Ukraine needs NATO?” speaks for itself. Hence, all
the expert opinions portray a very negative opinion about NATO as an
organization of international security and a very negative view regarding
Ukraine’s potential membership in the Alliance. All the authors seem to agree
that not only would Ukraine not benefit from such a step, but NATO membership would
also jeopardize Ukraine’s political future, violate its territorial and
political integrity, and fundamentally worsen relations with Russia. The latter
seems to be the most important argument against membership. Instead, the book
recommends that Ukraine should seek for a policy of non-alignment that would
imply improving the relations with its most strategic partner (Russia) as well
as keeping good relations with the West. This balanced position is considered
the most appropriate foreign policy vector for Ukraine. Additionally, of
particular concern for many of the book authors, is the involvement of the
United States in Ukrainian domestic and foreign affairs, which in their opinion
has had negative outcomes for Ukraine.
The first major contributor is Georgiy
Krychkov – the member of the Communist Party of Ukraine. His analysis starts by
criticizing Ukraine’s distancing itself from Russia and other Soviet Republics
after the collapse of the Soviet Union. It was an unwise political choice. Moreover,
Ukraine’s foreign policy and its relations with Russia were proscribed by the
U.S. House Committee Resolution 120 “In support of Ukraine’s independence”
adopted in 1996. The resolution focused on Ukraine’s sovereignty and its distancing
from the former Soviet satellites as well as distancing from Soviet-style
political institutions. In Mr. Kryuchkov’s opinion the very fact of such a resolution
is the example of the outright interference of another state in the internal
and external affairs of independent Ukraine. Hence, further actions of
Ukraine’s government, such as the dismantling of Ukraine’s nuclear arsenal,
only weakened the country’s military capacity and did not produce any of the desired
political outcomes. The development of the Ukraine own military has also
suffered from the repeated economic crises and worsening social problems.
Hence, current conditions of the Ukrainian military complex are unsatisfactory.
Mr. Kryuchkov argues that Ukraine
has special significance for Russia-U.S. relations, and President Yuschenko’s
pro-NATO position on this issue appears to have been very harmful for Ukraine.
Moreover, it does not reflect the opinion of the majority of the Ukrainian
population that has held a generally negative perception of NATO.
Alternatively, Mr. Kryuchkov argues, Ukraine should develop a more balanced
foreign policy approach. The closest foreign policy model was under former
Ukraine’s president, Leonid Kuchma. At the same time, president Yuschenko’s
policies significantly worsened Ukraine-Russia relations, as evidenced by gas
conflicts, the situation with the Russian Black Sea Fleet, and the worsening of
Ukraine’s exports to Russia.
According to Mr. Kryuchkov,
NATO’s interest in Ukraine includes using Ukraine’s soldiers for the Alliance’s
military operations; using Ukrainian military aviation; and taking advantage of
Ukraine’s territory and its geopolitical position. At the same time, Ukraine’s
benefits are unclear. Since the Ukraine-NATO ten-year partnership has not
really resulted in substantial achievements in the military sphere, the
question is whether we can expect anything to change in the long-run. Moreover,
although the government has spent significant amounts of time and efforts for
pro-NATO propaganda, public opinion remains negative. Finally, Mr. Kryuchkov
argues that Ukraine’s membership in the Alliance will not strengthen its
independence. If anything, it will worsen Ukraine’s relations with Russia,
which will negatively impact Ukraine’s economy. Hence, instead of partnering
with NATO, Ukraine should take a closer look at its internal affairs and
concentrate on such issues as the deterioration of industry and scientific
research; energy dependence;
environmental issues; utilization of old
military equipment; and too much foreign investment in the strategic sectors of
Ukraine’s economy and large-scale
privatization.
The second contributor is Dmitriy
Tabachnik, a historian and the current Minister of Education and Science of
Ukraine. Dr. Tabachnik starts his essay by analyzing early relations between
Ukraine and NATO established by Leonid Kuchma. Thus, a balanced foreign policy and
partnership with NATO were justified at the early stages of Ukraine’s
independence because Yeltsin’s Russia was a politically unstable partner. However,
the situation changed when Russia got a new president, who managed to achieve
political, economic and military supremacy in the region. As a result, Russia stopped
being a threat to Ukraine. Therefore, in his last months of office, Leonid
Kuchma removed Ukraine’s goal of NATO membership from the country’s military
doctrine. At the same time, NATO itself, mainly the United States, had started displaying
growing interest in Ukraine.
Dr. Tabachnik argues that from
then on, both Ukrainian politicians and their Western partners have been
covering Ukraine-NATO relations with numerous lies. This includes the massive
campaign to discredit the image of Leonid Kuchma, the substitution of the goal
of European integration with the goal of joining NATO, and spreading wrong
information about NATO’s goals. The latter misinformation includes portraying
NATO not as a military organization but as a humanitarian organization;
portraying the Alliance as a club that each country needs to join if it wishes
to join the European Union; falsifying NATO’s impact on military expenses and
exaggerating military benefits; portraying NATO as an instrument for democracy
and anti-corruption reforms; denying the fact that NATO will eventually locate
its military bases in Ukraine (and thus denying NATO’s impact on Ukraine’s
relations with Russia); denying Russia’s right to express its opinion; and
saying that NATO would guarantee the destiny of Crimea, as a territory that
would otherwise be captured by Russia. Dr. Tabachnik attempts to refute these
stereotypes, by showing that if anything it is the United States, not Russia
that tries to exert a destructive political influence on Ukraine by involving
the country in political and military conflicts and worsening its relations with
its immediate neighbor. Like the previous author, Dr. Tabachnik says that NATO
membership benefits for Ukraine would be minimal; however, negative outcomes
would be significant. He further uses the example of France and its relations
with the satellite countries on the eve of World War II. While France supported
the formation of the Small Entente, when it came to the real German threat, the
country did not stand for its smaller European satellite countries. Thus, the
destiny of small satellites (like Ukraine) is not necessarily determined by
their alliance with the bigger partner (NATO). Additionally, Tabachnik uses the
example of the expansion of Nazi Germany, and shows how this analogy could be
applicable to the expansion of NATO – the dangerous process that might have
negative long-term outcomes.
Finally, the author discusses the
role of Sevastopol, as a strategic city that ensures control over the Black Sea
Region and access to the Caucasus. Control over Sevastopol is important not
only because of its naval capacities but also as a symbol of independence,
freedom, and Ukraine-Russia unity – the symbolic role that Sevastopol gained over
the course of its history. Particularly, the Russian Black Sea Fleet is the
only capable naval agent that protects Ukraine’s security (Ukraine’s own fleet
is weak). One potential threat comes from Romania, and in this regard the role
of the Russia Fleet is crucial. Moreover, Sevastopol’s economy is so dependent
on the Russian Fleet that it would completely collapse in case of its permanent
withdrawal. Lastly, Dr. Tabachnik argues that Ukraine’s involvement in
Georgia-Russia conflict in 2008, including both the political support of
Georgian president and supplying the military equipment, significantly worsened
Ukraine-Russia relations. Overall, Ukrainian foreign policy carried out by all
its Presidents had been the policy of lost opportunities – a tendency that is
both harmful and dangerous.
The third contributor is Petr
Simonenko- the leader of the Communist Party of Ukraine. He starts his essay by
discussing the events of Russia-Georgia War of 2008, as an event that should force
Ukrainian society to think more carefully about the historical roots of the war
and its modern causes. Learning a lesson from Georgia’s negative example is
important for Ukraine. Simonenko’s analysis is based on the premise that the
presence of too strong nationalist political forces in any country is likely to
lead to negative and even dangerous outcomes. One such example was the triumph
of the National Socialist Party in Germany. Another example is the case of the
Soviet Union dissolution, where radical nationalist movements made sure to
destroy the strong political, economic, and cultural ties existing between the
Soviet Republics. Hence, Mr. Symonenko is not surprised that the United States
and the transnational corporations are supportive of the nationalist right-wing
movements in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe.
He further analyzes two major
vectors of the American foreign policy (Pax Americana endorsed by Republicans
and Pax Globalist endorsed by Democrats). He says that although these doctrines
have slight differences, they nevertheless have the same goal – the
construction of a new world order. Symonenko uses the example of the color
revolutions in Eurasia and their failings to illustrate the weakness of the
American doctrine and the problem of foreign influence on domestic political
affairs. In fact, recent frozen conflicts in Kosovo, Tibet, Georgia are not
single events; they are rather a system of well-planned actions aimed at
supporting the economic and political dominance of the American system. Thus, like
the previous author, Mr. Symonenko condemns Ukraine’s political and military
support of the Georgian government during the war of 2008. In summary, he
offers several suggestions from the Communist Party of Ukraine on what to do in
order to improve Ukraine’s domestic situation and foreign positions. These
include: changing the foreign policy approaches by reducing the power of one
leader –the President – in making all important foreign policy decisions; to
adapt the comprehensive law “On the Foundations of Foreign and Domestic Policy
of Ukraine”; to once and for all ‘close’ the issue of NATO membership and to
adapt a non-alignment doctrine; to rely
on Ukrainian military forces for defense
needs versus a foreign military; to
strengthen and develop Ukrainian military capacity; to advance the idea of “new
socialism” by creating a global socialist organization; and finally, to
publicly condemn the politics of nationalism.
The fourth contributor is Sergey
Grinevetskiy, the representative of a centrist party Lytvyn’s Block. He also starts
his essay by drawing the reader’s
attention to the Georgian conflict. The main argument of Mr. Grinevetskiy’s
essay is about the value of the non-alignment philosophy as the best foreign
policy doctrine for Ukraine. He first analyzes the history of the non-alignment
doctrine as an institution of international law and discusses particular cases
of non-alignment (such as Belgium, Austria, Moldova). Then, he talks about three
types of non-alignment: permanent, war-related, and internationally sanctioned and
only later domestically instituted non-alignment – like in the case of
Turkmenistan. The author further discusses specific political conditions
conducive to the permanent non-alignment of Ukraine. Of particular importance
is Ukraine’s position in the Black Sea Region and the presence of ‘frozen’
conflicts in that region. Mr. Grinevetskiy recognizes that Russia has crucial
interests in the region, and therefore is interested in keeping her influence
by all means possible, including military actions. Hence, Ukraine as a country
is captured between Western and Russian interests in the region, and therefore,
for its own best interests, Ukraine should adopt a non-alignment doctrine. Mr.
Grinevetskiy further analyzes public opinion polls that signify Ukraine’s
public general disapproval of a particular alliance (either with NATO or with
Russia), with 36.6 per cent of people directly supporting non-alignment. Hence,
there are objective preconditions for adopting this doctrine at the political
level. Among other, Mr. Grinevetskiy mentions the negative impact of Ukrainian
politics on Ukraine-Russia relations, particularly evidenced by Ukraine’s
military support of Georgia that directly violated the Ukraine-Russia
partnership agreement signed in 1997.
The fifth contributor is Petr
Tolochko – a former member of Tymoshenko Block and a current member of the
independent civic organization “New Ukraine” since 2009. Dr. Tolochko’s essay
is dedicated to the social and humanitarian issues pertinent to Ukraine’s
relations with NATO. He starts by discussing a negative portrayal of Russia and
Russian interests in Ukraine by the Ukrainian media, which sounds more like
anti-Russian propaganda rather than objective information. Then he moves to
discuss the issue of the Russian language in Ukraine that is spoken by 8.5
million people, and yet is being forced out of the public schools, media and
other social institutions. The other problem described by Dr. Tolochko is the
situation with history textbooks used in Ukrainian public schools. In his
opinion, these new textbooks deliberately misinterpret several important
historical events to form negative perceptions about Russia and its role in
Ukrainian history. Finally, the separation of the Ukrainian Orthodox church and
the idea of granting this church a special national status, as suggested by the
President, contradicts the flow of history.
Dr. Tolochko argues that
independence is good for Ukraine; however, he also supports stronger ties with
Russia, as a brother country that shares with Ukraine common history, language,
culture and other important social attributes. In fact, he argues, in some
aspects the histories of Ukraine and Russia are inseparable, and it is not wise
to push the boundaries. In fact, the push of Ukraine towards NATO is another
problem caused by Yuschenko and the Orange government. It only worsened
Ukraine’s relations with both Russia and West. He concludes by saying that
national radicalism is the worst ideology for Ukraine, and Ukrainian leftist
parties are the only political forces in Ukraine that would support a right
policy towards NATO and protect the interests of all Eastern Slavs. Therefore,
Dr. Tolochko is hoping that Ukrainian public support of the leftist parties
would grow in the future.
Generally speaking, the book “An
Application for Suicide. Why Ukraine needs NATO?” is a good read for scholars
interested in the internal political dynamics in Ukraine, and the relationship
between domestic forces and foreign policy outcomes. It does not offer insights
regarding political theories; however, it does provide some good historic
analysis and a pretty accurate portrayal of the leftist and some centrist
Ukrainian ideologies. The major weakness of the book is its political bias due
to the absence of representation of various political opinions outside of the
left-central political spectrum. Although the arguments presented have merit,
the analysis is very much one-sided. Therefore, although the book is meant to
serve the educational purposes for the Ukrainian public, political elites and
academics, the lack of critical analysis and unbalanced arguments make it more
suitable for political propaganda. Part of what explains this is that the book
was sponsored by the opposition parties (when the Orange Coalition was in
office); hence, the opposition’s opinion of the Ukrainian governmental
relations with NATO was particularly negative. Since the return of opposition
parties to the political mainstream, these parties have managed to alter
Ukraine’s foreign policy objectives including the adoption of a non-alignment
status and a significant reduction of Ukraine’s relations with the NATO Alliance.
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