Sunday, August 11, 2013

Kyrgyzstan's Borders in the 21st Century

Contemporary borders in Central Asia only date back to the early 20th century. During the Soviet period, national republics were created for many of the region’s numerous ethnic groups. The administrative borders between Union Republics that were drawn during this period survived the Soviet Union to become international borders between independent states. Almost overnight, republics that had previously been tied together by a centrally planned economy and political system, and which shared infrastructure and resources, become independent states with oftentimes wildly divergent leadership and policies, levels of development, and access to natural resources.

Like its neighbors, the Kyrgyz Republic has, since independence, struggled to secure its borders, which, in many areas, remain porous and contested. Border conflicts with Uzbekistan have become sadly commonplace. Numerous Uzbek exclaves – territory that is legally part of Uzbekistan, but completely surrounded by Kyrgyz territory – exist within the Kyrgyz Republic. Residents of these exclaves must pass through international borders several times in order to travel to other parts of Uzbekistan, leaving them vulnerable to isolation. Numerous Tajik exclaves exist as well, and like the Uzbek exclaves, they are frequently the scenes of interethnic violence.

In 1999, the Ferghana Valley region witnessed several large-scale attacks by the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (also known as the Islamic Movement of Turkestan). Between 1999 and 2001, the IMU carried out a number of attacks, including bombings and kidnappings, in Uzbekistan and southern Kyrgyzstan, and lent support to Taliban forces in Afghanistan. In response, the Uzbek and Kyrgyz governments have implemented numerous anti-terrorism initiatives in cooperation with the United States and other international actors. Given the IMU’s cross-border activities and the continuing instability in Afghanistan, border security, including preventing document forgery, is one of the major emphases of these projects.

The Kyrgyz Republic has also become a hub for the trafficking of drugs from Afghanistan. Kyrgyz authorities routinely apprehend smugglers, but weak border security, particularly with Tajikistan, means that the problem continues largely unabated. This has led to the rise of organized crime and growing amounts in drug abuse and drug-related problems, such as HIV/AIDS, within Kyrgyzstan itself. The government has tried to increase border patrols, but the mountainous terrain and the lack of resources make enforcement difficult.

Apart from the threat of drug smuggling and violence from the IMU or other terrorist organizations, the Kyrgyz Republic’s borders also have a profound impact on the governance of the state itself. The country’s second largest city, Osh, is home to a large ethnic Uzbek population, which maintains strong ties to other cities in the Ferghana Valley, the majority of which is in Uzbekistan. Border controls, however, are strict, and the Uzbek government periodically closes the border entirely. Osh, and the southern part of the country more generally, are separated from the rest of Kyrgyzstan by high mountain ranges. Roads through these mountains are frequently blocked during bad weather, meaning that expensive and infrequent flights from Bishkek or land routes that cross the Ferghana Valley in Uzbekistan are the only ways to travel from the north to the south. Given the already limited influence the central government in Bishkek has over affairs in the south , and considering the long history of inter-ethnic violence in Osh, the Kyrgyz-Uzbek border also represents a centrifugal force that heightens the distance – politically and temporally – between Kyrgyzstan’s capital and its “second city.”

Economically speaking, Kyrgyzstan’s borders are double-edged swords. The Kyrgyz Republic is a landlocked state. If the borders are closed, so too are the main transit routes into the country, meaning the republic’s economy is dependent, to some extent, on the goodwill of its neighbors. On the other hand, the Kyrgyz Republic, along with Tajikistan, controls the majority of the upstream water resources that countries like Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, and especially Uzbekistan, depend on – a fact that has not gone unremarked upon in Tashkent. Legally, the Kyrgyz government has a great deal of discretion over water resources inside its borders. Large-scale hydropower projects would serve to redistribute the balance of geopolitical power in the region in Kyrgyzstan’s favor by giving the Kyrgyz Republic greater control over how much water ultimately crosses the border into Uzbekistan. Stability along the Uzbek-Kyrgyz border may depend to a large degree upon the measure of the Uzbek government's response to any future development by the Kyrgyz government of its hydroelectric resources.

Borders are sometimes taken for granted. Oftentimes, they are conceived of as little more than the outline of a state, lines that goods and travelers must cross -- oftentimes with no small amount of hassle -- to get from one place to another. Borders, however, are always inherently political, and what happens at the border often carries with it regional consequences. As one Kyrgyz counter-terrorism expert has noted:
The situation in our region is inextricably linked to the processes in the Afghan-Pakistani border region, where the Islamic Jihad Union and Islamic Movement of Turkestan bases are located, generously supported by al Qaeda and the Taliban. According to various predictions, following the withdrawal of the International Security Assistance Force in Afghanistan, it is possible that the situation will worsen and that we will see an escalation in terrorist activity, with militants penetrating the borders and an increase in drug trafficking. This would lead to total destabilisation in Central Asia, and for this reason we are taking steps to neutralise and minimise these threats.
If international terrorism and drug trafficking are issues that attract a great deal of attention in places like Washington, D.C., hydroelectric power and internecine struggles between the northern and southern regions of the Kyrgyz Republic are less scrutinized. And yet it is clear that these matters, all of which deal in one way or another with borders, are just as crucial, if not moreso, to the long-term stability of Kyrgyzstan, and perhaps to the Central Asian region more generally. Refocusing our attention on borders gives us the perspective to recognize that security is not merely about what happens within particular states, but is equally a question of what happens between them. In this sense, the politics of the borders of the Kyrgyz Republic do not appear exceptional, but instructive. 

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